Category Archives: Business/Economics

After being taken over by the U.S. taxpayers, and constantly being bailed out, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac finally get downgraded

When the credit crisis hit in 2007/2008 the biggest mortgage lenders in the U.S., Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, suddenly became too big to fail and were taken over by the U.S. government.  The move had U.S. taxpayers providing the mortgage giants with almost consistent quarterly bailouts.

Now Standard & Poor’s has downgraded their credit rating, from triple A, to double A+.  ‘Bout time!

The two mortgage companies, along with a third called Ginnie Mae, guarantee 80% of the mortgages in the United States.  Fannie and Freddie have received $141 billion in taxpayer bailouts, so far.

Standard & Poor’s is also downgrading U.S. Federal Home Loan banks.  Federal Home Loan banks support consumer credit by providing money to other banks, in the form of bank to bank loans.

 

What Economic Recovery? Group of 7 decide to answer the U.S. debt problem by flooding markets with liquidity, won’t that create Hyperinflation?

The European Central Bank, and the Group of 7 top industrialized countries, decided to deal with the credit rating downgrade of the United States by flooding international markets with liquidity.

Liquidity=cash and bank deposits.

One of the problems with this recession is that banks, and other financial institutions as well as big corporations, have been money hording.  Lending has not taken place as President Obama had hoped (at least to small businesses and individuals).  The result is that the ‘big guys’ have a lot of liquidity sitting around doing nothing (by the way something like this happened right before the Great Depression).

Now the international community has decided to flood the international markets with that liquidity.

So far we’ve seen inflation, albeit a mild inflation for most of the world, but get ready to see inflation like you’ve never seen before when all that money hits the markets.  You see, when there is a lot of money available to buy a lot of things, it automatically drives up prices.

Some people might think the stories of Germans using wheelbarrows full of cash to buy a loaf of bread, during their Hyperinflation of the 1920s (which helped lead to the Great Depression in the United States), is just an exaggeration.  It is not.  I’ve read the accounts, and I’ve even seen silent newsreels showing people lining up with wheelbarrows full of worthless Deutschmarks at bakeries.

This happened because the Weimar government thought by printing more money, in essence flooding the public with liquidity, that people would be able to buy the products they needed, products that were already experiencing inflation.  The flooding of money into the German consumer market made the situation worse, creating hyperinflation.

The following is from Wikipedia, on hyperinflation: Hyperinflation becomes visible when there is an unchecked increase in the money supply… also… Hyperinflation is often associated with wars (or their aftermath), currency meltdowns, political or social upheavals, or aggressive bidding on currency exchanges. Mmmm, sound familiar?

 

 

What Economic Recovery? Japanese economist predict negative GDP for Japan, blames the United States

Several private economic research firms, in Japan, are predicting GDP for Japan will go south for the 3rd quarter.

As many as ten research firms say Japan’s GDP could contract by as much 4.7% for the next economic quarter.  They blame the decline on a huge reduction in consumer spending, both in Japan, and in other countries, made worse by the U.S. debt.

A few economist predict positive GDP for Japan, but that is totally dependent upon the debt problems of the United States.  It’s the international concern over the debt of the U.S. that has most Japanese economists warning of a crash in Japan’s economy.

What Economic Recovery? Germany says no more bailout money for Italy

Der Spiegel is reporting that German government officials doubt any more bailout money can save Italy, even if the current European Financial Stability Fund was tripled in size.

German officials have consistently said government finance reforms must come through spending cuts, and tax reform, not taking on more loans.

Currently the European Financial Stability Fund has $627 billion (440 billion Euros), and Germany says even if that was somehow tripled it wouldn’t be enough to save Italy.

Earlier in the week the European Central Bank started buying more government bonds from smaller European countries, but refused to buy any bonds from Italy and Spain (an indication that the bank has little confidence in those countries paying them back).

 

 

What Economic Recovery? Emergency World meeting over U.S. credit downgrade, China says no more U.S. dollar, Germany says finally the U.S. gets what it deserves

“The U.S. government has to come to terms with the painful fact that the good old days when it could just borrow its way out of messes of its own making are finally gone.”-Chinese government/media commentary

The European Central Bank will hold an emergency meeting on Sunday, August 7.  The issue; the credit rating downgrade for the United States.

Finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of 7 major industrialized nations will meet by telephone on Sunday.  The broader Group of 20 were due to hold a conference call Saturday evening.

China and Japan are calling for coordinated action to avoid a new worldwide financial crisis.  One issue that’s being looked at is whether the world can continue to use the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency: “International supervision over the issue of U.S. dollars should be introduced and a new, stable and secured global reserve currency may also be an option to avert a catastrophe caused by any single country.”-Chinese government/media commentary

Another issue to be discussed is the amount of secure debt versus risky debt: “It will weigh on secure assets. The bigger reaction will be on risky assets, including equities and on agencies and states backed directly by the federal government. U.S. Treasuries will remain a benchmark. This is a ship which takes a long time to turn around.”-Ciaran  O’Hagan, Societe Generale in Paris.

Germany, the economic powerhouse of Europe, says it’s about time the U.S. got what it deserves: “I’m not surprised about the U.S. rating downgrade, rather I am astonished that, for weeks, international rating agencies have focused their attention on the European debt situation but not the American one. For a while, there have been clear worries about America’s economic woes but also the fact the U.S. is heavily indebted.”-Norbert Barthle, a budget expert for German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative party

 

 

What Economic Recovery? German drug giant Bayer may leave Germany, find new home in China

German drug and chemical giant, Bayer, says high utility cost in Germany could force it to move all its German operations to a new location outside of Europe.

The most likely new home for Bayer, China.

Bayer blames the German government, and in a round about way the German people, for their decision to end the use of nuclear power plants in Germany.

Bayer claims the electricity cost would skyrocket, making it almost impossible for them to do business in Germany : “It is important that we remain competitive in comparison with other countries. Otherwise, a global business such as Bayer would have to consider relocating its production to countries with lower energy costs.”-Marijn Dekkers, CEO

Dekkers hinted that China could be Bayer’s new home, because they’ve already invested big time into their China operations.  They’re also looking at Brazil and India.

It’s not like Bayer is losing money in this bad economy.  They reported a net profit of $1.1 billion for the second quarter of this year!

 

 

What Economic Recovery? Proof the housing market hasn’t fallen enough: Big Banks bulldozing smalltown America

“Things that were unthinkable are now becoming thinkable.”-James W. Hughes, School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers University

If you want proof that the housing market still hasn’t hit bottom, just look at what Bank of America is doing, they’re bulldozing all those homes they foreclosed on.  Why? “There is way too much supply, the best thing we can do to stabilize the market is to get the garbage off.”-Gus Frangos, Cuyahoga County Land Re-utilization Corp of Cleveland

It’s not just BoA, but the other big banks that foreclosed (sometimes unjustifiably) on hundreds of thousands of homes across the U.S. are doing the same thing.

Essentially the big mortgage lenders shot themselves in the foot.  Now there is way too many homes on the market, compared to the decreasing number of qualified home buyers.

BoA is planning on bulldozing 100 homes in Cleveland, Ohio.  BoA is even giving away homes to local authorities: “No one needs these homes, no one is going to buy them. Bank of America is not going to be able to cover its losses, so it might as well give them away and get a little write-off and some nice public relations.”-Christopher Thornberg, Los Angeles office of Beacon Economics LLC

So far they’ve off loaded around 100 homes in Detroit, Michigan and 150 in Chicago, Illinois.

Even big cities are bulldozing their own.  Detroit Mayor, Dave Bing, proposed bulldozing one quarter of the entire city’s houses, and empty buildings, over the next three years.

What Economic Recovery? Japan to fight inflation with butter, lots and lots of butter, it’s not funny

Inflation is hitting other countries harder than the United States (so far).  In Japan inflation has caused the price of butter to go up so high, that the government announced they will flood the butter markets with more butter.

But that butter isn’t coming from Japan.  Butter production collapsed after the March 11 disasters, so the Japanese government will import 2,000 tons of butter.

It’s not just butter that will be imported, but fish as well.  This is no thanks to the radiation being poured into the Pacific Ocean off the Japanese coast.  Japanese fishermen are having a hard time selling their catch, even if it’s certified to be free of radiation.  The result is a fish shortage, and of course the price is going up.  Japan will import 13,700 tons of fish.

The situation in Japan will only strain the growing world food crisis.

What Economic Recovery? Will Sony join Hitachi and stop making TVs in Japan?

Believe it or not the electronics giant Sony has been losing money big time on TV sales.  Prior to the March 11th disasters Sony lost about $95 million from TV sales.

Hitachi recently announced they would shut down their last Japanese TV factory by March 2012.  They claim they’re losing to competition from South Korea.

Sony says it wants to continue to make TVs in Japan, in fact they say making TVs is “the biggest and critical issue” for Sony.

Sony would not give any details of their plans to rebuild their TV business, but analysts think Sony is hoping to expand sales in emerging markets.

The concern over TV production is overshadowing Sony’s next generation video game system, the PlayStation Vita, which is due to be released at the end of the year, or beginning of next year.

Government Incompetence: IRS will not collect lost tax revenues caused by FAA shut down, airlines get away with not paying taxes

Recently it was announced that the U.S. Senate made a deal that would put thousands of FAA employees, and contractors, back to work.  This after it was revealed that the government was losing hundreds of million in tax revenues from the FAA shutdown.  Those loses far outweighed the savings from not having to pay the laid off FAA employees.

Now the Internal Revenue Service says they will not attempt to recover those lost airline ticket taxes.  IRS officials say they were ordered by the U.S. Senate not to collect taxes on ticket sales relating to flights made during the FAA shutdown.

Also, people who flew during the FAA shutdown, but bought their airline tickets before the FAA shutdown, will not get the taxes they paid refunded.  Since the airlines are not required to pay the IRS the taxes they collected, on tickets for flights that occurred during the FAA shutdown, essentially the airlines made some free money.