Tag Archives: gdp

Business/Economics, International, U.S.

Global Economic War: Brazil beats out United Kingdom, now 6th largest world economy, soon to become 5th largest

According to the British Centre for Economics and Business Research, Brazil’s GDP will end 2011 at U.S.$2.4 trillion!  That makes Brazil the sixth largest economy in the world.

The United States is still number one (of course most of that money goes to the top 10% in the U.S., no trickle down here), followed by China, Japan, Germany, France, and now Brazil.

On December 27 the Brazilian Finance Minister commented on a new IMF report, saying his country will soon be the fifth largest economy in the world: “The International Monetary Fund expects Brazil to be the fifth economy in 2015, but I think that will happen earlier…it’s inexorable that we surpass France and, in future, who knows, Germany…”-Guido Mantega

Business/Economics, International, U.S.

Revised GDP report; what the mainstream media doesn’t tell you, inflation up, military spending up, non-military spending down, workers producing more but not being paid more

On November 22, the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released another revised Real GDP report.  It says the second revision of GDP for the third quarter 2011 was a stagnant 2%.

Gross Domestic Product is the “the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States”.   Real GDP means it’s been adjusted for inflation, specifically: “‘Real’ estimates are in chained (2005) dollars.”

The BEA report has some other important information, that the mainstream media rarely reports.

Inflation: Overall prices increased 1.9% in the third quarter, and 3.3% in the second quarter.

Expenses: Overall consumption expenditures increased 2.3% in the third quarter, 0.7% in the second quarter.

Property Investment: Non-residential property investment increased 14.8% in the third quarter, 10.3% in the second quarter.  Residential property investment increased 1.6% in the third quarter, 4.2% in the second quarter.

Exports: Products made in the U.S. and shipped to other countries increased 4.3% in the third quarter,  3.6% in the second.

Imports: Products brought into the U.S. increased 0.5% in the third quarter, 1.4% in the second quarter.

Government: Federal spending on the military increased 4.7% in the third quarter,  7.0% in the second. Federal spending on non-military decreased 3.8% in the third quarter, decreasing 7.6% in the second. State and local spending decreased 1.4% in the third quarter, decreasing 2.8% in the second.

Production: Real Gross National Product increased 2.1% in the third quarter, and 2.2% in the second.

Value of Products Produced: Market value increased 4.6% in the third quarter, 4.0% in the second quarter.

Income: Real Gross Domestic Income increased 0.4% in the third quarter, and 0.2% in the second.

To be significant the amount of change should be 3% or greater. Between 0% and 3% should be considered stagnation, below 0% is retraction.

Notice the huge jumps in property investment.

Notice that U.S. exports are above 3%.  This corresponds to the increase in production.  The value of products produced are more than 4%!  Yet look at the income of U.S. workers, a 0.4% pittance!  Some reward for making more products and providing more service!

The BEA’s data on production and income shows you that Corporate America views labor as slave wage workers. After all it’s obviously not the workers who’re benefiting from the increased production, and the increased value of their products and services!

What about government spending of your tax dollars? The BEA report shows what many are dealing with, a drop in State and local government spending (social services and education are the big ones), and a huge drop (more than 7% in the 2nd quarter, more than 3% in the 3rd) in Federal non-military spending (again, social programs, education, etc).  But look at the huge jump in military spending, it almost matches the cuts in non-military spending!

The BEA’s data on government spending is a real indicator of who the government really cares about!

Business/Economics, International, U.S.

What Economic Recovery? Japanese banks following the money to…Vietnam

September 30, Japan’s Mizuho Financial Group will invest big time in a major Vietnamese bank, Vietcombank, all in an effort to profit off Vietnam’s explosive economic growth.

Even officials with the U.S. bank Citigroup is amazed at how well Vietnam’s economy is doing.

Currently Vietnam’s GDP is at 6.11%.  Very good, but less than their 2010 GDP, which was 7.18%.  The annual GDP for the U.S. is stagnating between 1% and 2%!

The down side to Vietnam’s explosive growth, is that most Vietnamese are being left behind in the dust of poverty.  Fast economic growth comes with the paradox of increased poverty, because most of the quick profits end up in the pockets of the few (and they do not trickle it down).

Business/Economics, International, U.S.

Government slight of hand & Media Incompetence: GDP numbers continue to get revised donward, after being publicly reported, U.S. no better off than EU

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis says the GDP for the second quarter of 2011 was a stagnant 1.3%.  But what some media outlets didn’t report was that the previous quarter was revised downward from 1.95% to 0.4%!

This kind of slight of hand has been going on for years now.  It turns out that real GDP has been much lower during this whole recession/recovery BS.  Don’t be surprised that the second quarter GDP numbers get revised downward when the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports the 3rd quarter results.

The revision of the 1st quarter, down to 0.4%, shows that the United States is no better off than the European Union, which is in real big trouble.

Germany hit a surprising low of 0.1% GDP.  France, the second biggest EU economic powerhouse after Germany, flatlined at 0% GDP!  For the whole of the EU Gross Domestic Product was only 0.2% for the second quarter.

 

 

 

Business/Economics, International, U.S.

What Economic Recovery? Japanese economist predict negative GDP for Japan, blames the United States

Several private economic research firms, in Japan, are predicting GDP for Japan will go south for the 3rd quarter.

As many as ten research firms say Japan’s GDP could contract by as much 4.7% for the next economic quarter.  They blame the decline on a huge reduction in consumer spending, both in Japan, and in other countries, made worse by the U.S. debt.

A few economist predict positive GDP for Japan, but that is totally dependent upon the debt problems of the United States.  It’s the international concern over the debt of the U.S. that has most Japanese economists warning of a crash in Japan’s economy.

Business/Economics, Opinion, U.S.

What Economic Recovery? U.S. GDP continues to stagnate, leaders continue to sell it as “growth”

U.S. GDP for the second quarter of 2011 is stagnating at 1.3%.   U.S. leaders and main stream media continue to call it “growth”.  What’s really sad is that the “experts” expected the GDP to be higher.

On top of that, the first quarter results were revised, no surprise, downward from 1.9% to 0.4%!  It’s amazing how for the past few years economic reports have been revised downward a month or more after they’ve been released.  So is the second quarter GDP of 1.3% going to be revised downward?  I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s revised downward to a negative percent.

 

 

Business/Economics, International

What Economic Recovery? British Prime Minister claims 0.2% GDP is positive growth

The United Kingdom is reporting 0.2% GDP for the last quarter, many officials calling it a sign of economic “growth”.  Prime Minister David Cameron calls it “positive news” for the U.K.

0.2% is not “growth”!  It’s stagnation!  Anything from zero to 3% is stagnation.  The U.S. and U.K. mainstream media, and politicians, keep trying to trick people into thinking that proof of economic stagnation is really economic “growth”.

A country needs to see more than 3% GDP (over so many quarters) before it can be called “growth”.   If David Cameron thinks 0.2% is so great then we’re really in trouble!