Tag Archives: stocks

Business/Economics, Idaho, U.S.

What Economic Recovery? Corporate layoffs & stock market games, part of Corporate America’s stock buy back scheme. Hewlett-Packard case in point

“We’re relatively pessimistic about the economic outlook in two of our three major regions. 2012 just looks tough to me.”-Meg Whitman, new CEO of Hewlett-Packard

“It’s an extraordinarily unimaginative way to use money.”-Robert Reich, former U.S. Secretary of Labor

What’s the former U.S. Secretary of Labor talking about? Why Corporate America buying back its own stocks.  Companies are able to do this because they are not spending money on research and development, and, according to a New York Times article, it’s the real reason companies are still laying off employees. They’re using the money they would have paid for the labor to buy back company stocks.

In November employees at the Boise, Idaho, Hewlett-Packard (HP) factory reported that layoffs were in the works.  In July HP bought back U.S.$10 billion of their own stocks, then laid off 500 employees in September.  HP officials avoided directly answering questions about layoffs in Idaho by saying they were working on a “press release”.  It’s been a couple of weeks now and no press release.

A lot of problems are being created by the way Corporate America is buying back their stocks.  For one it artificially increases the value of their stocks:  “Unless earnings per share are adjusted to reflect the buyback, then to base a bonus on raw earnings per share is problematic. It doesn’t purely reflect performance.”-John L. Weinberg, University of Delaware

Number two, it’ll delay any economic recovery: “It’s a symptom of a deeper problem, which is a lack of investment in the long term. If we’re not investing in research, innovation and entrepreneurship, we’re going to be a slow growth country for a decade.”-William W. George, Harvard Business School

And thirdly, it’s increasing unemployment, which is only adding to the downward spiral of the economy.

On November 22, Meg Witman, former eBay CEO, former California Gubernatorial candidate, and new CEO of Hewlett-Packard, was questioned about HP’s huge cuts in R&D.  Here’s her response: “It’s not (return on investment) in year one or two. I think the investments we make in 2012 you’ll start to see in 2014 and 2015. I wish I could tell you differently but it’s not true. And you’re right. We cut out a lot of muscle in R&D at this company and we have to invest back in it. It’s a long term play. I will tell you, this management team, we are now building HP, we’re building it to last. We’re not building it for next month or next quarter. We are building this company to be great over the next decade. And you’ll see improvements every single year. You’ll be able to measure us on how we’re doing. But we’re making some long term bets here because we can’t continue to run this company for the short term.”

Knowing that the latest trend in Corporate America is buying back their own stock, at the expense of R&D and employment, is that what Whitman means when she says “…we’re making some long term bets…”?

Whitman’s answer is confusing.  Traditional economics tells you that investing in R&D is a long term “bet”.  Yet Whitman calls it “short term”. 

So is that what Whitman means when she says we should see returns on investment in 2014/2015?  The investment meaning buying back their own stocks?

Anyone who’s taken economics, or business courses should know that traditional investment into your own company means R&D; to come up with more efficient ways to produce products, or coming up with new products/services, better marketing, etc.  But it does not mean buying back your own stocks.

Perhaps stock buybacks are the real reason there are layoffs coming for HP’s Boise operation, and officials are still trying to come up with a good sounding reason for their forthcoming “press release”?

Hopefully, since Whitman just started her job as HP CEO, she’s talking about a return to traditional economics. Hopefully it’ll mean an end to HP’s stock buy backs and a return to putting money into R&D and employment, she did say: “We cut out a lot of muscle in R&D at this company and we have to invest back in it.” Oh well, wishful thinking.

 

Business/Economics, Technology, U.S.

What Economic Recovery? Netflix says 2012 will be so bad they will not make any profits. Looking to investors to float them. Blame competition & inflation

Netflix announced on November 21, that they do not expect to make a profit in 2012.  The on demand movie service went from having $366 million in cash, to almost nothing predicted for 2012.

Netflix officials blame it on several things; a huge subscriber loss, increased competition and a huge jump in licensing fees (inflation).

Like most of Corporate America, Netflix thought it could trick its customers into paying more for less. It backfired, company officials now estimate they will lose one million subscribers as a result.

Netflix says it’s seeing a jump in competition, not just from Hulu and Redbox, but from Amazon and Google.

Now comes the licensing fees.  In 2010 Netflix paid $180 million, now that’s jumped to $2 billion for 2012!!!  Company officials say they can not pay the fee upfront and will have to spread payments out over several years.

Under text book economic rules Netflix should pass on the increased licensing fees to its customers, but they already tried that and lost a huge amount of customers.  Netflix will try to ride out 2012 by issuing a crap load of stocks and bonds.  They hope they can get investors to buy at least $400 million worth of stocks and bonds, even though they admit they’re not going to make any profit for 2012.

 

Business/Economics, International, Technology, U.S.

Corporate Incompetence: Singapore sells off Olympus stocks, dumb U.S. investors holding on

The Government of Singapore Investment Corporation announced that it has disposed of almost all of its investments in Olympus.

Singapore held 2% of Olympus stocks.  They are the first major stock holder to announce they were dumping their shares in Olympus.  U.S. Olympus stockholders seem to be waiting for Olympus officials to provide an explanation as to where all their money went.

Business/Economics, International

What Economic Recovery? Germany & France pushing for tax on stock market deals, taking steps to turn the EU into a single economic & political entity

August 16, France and Germany decided against creating and selling Euro Bonds, and came up with another way to help raise money for EU governments; a stock market transaction tax.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy said Euro Bonds would come later, when the economic situation was more stable.  Instead he, and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, are pushing for a new tax (as if Europeans didn’t have to deal with enough taxes).

The new financial transaction tax would affect the purchases made on stock markets.

Merkel and Sarkozy are also calling for more economic and political unity for the EU.  They want EU members to modify their constitutions to reflect commitment to building a strong, more united European Union, and, they want to create a new EU council to oversea efforts to create a more unified EU.  That council will meet twice a year, and have a president who serves a two year term.

Business/Economics, Opinion

Ignore the Stock Market, it’s the Commodities Market that hits you in your wallet

The main stream media puts so much effort into reporting what happens in the stock markets.  Why?  Because the main stream media is controlled by big corporations.  Big corporations get investment money from stocks.  Big corporations use the main stream media to control the stock markets.

So you got money in your 401k, so what?  That’s for retirement, if you don’t lose it all in the next crash.  But on a day to day, affect your wallet right now kind of way, the stock markets don’t mean squat.   When you go to buy fuel for your car, or buy food for your family, or clothes, or anything, it’s the commodity markets you should be paying attention to.

Commodities affect every thing you buy; gas, food, household goods, a new car, new clothes.  Every basic resource is traded in the commodities markets; from oil to trees to metal, to all kinds of crops and livestock.  It could be that the main stream media’s focus on the stock markets is just a way of distracting the general public from the market that is really controlling everyday prices (or the main stream media is just ignorant).

Unless your an executive in a big corporation, or a big time stock holder in corporations, you should ignore the stock markets and start paying attention to the Commodities Markets.

Business/Economics, Opinion, U.S.

Economy About to Crash? What Happened to Recovery? 10 Reasons

March 10, 2011.

“I think this is the beginning of something severe.” said chief investment strategist at Windham Financial Services, Paul Mendelsohn. He’s referring to the more than 220 point drop in the DOW, which got little to no mention in national TV news coverage on March 10. There’s a lot of legitimate reasons for investors getting out of the market, not just in the U.S., but world wide. Those reasons also prove that there is no economic recovery.

Reason 1: First time jobless claims, in the U.S., for state benefits went up, more than expected (again).

Reason 2: World wide unemployment is high. Most of the violence around the world involves unemployment. The current crisis in North Africa and the Middle East is due, in part, to high unemployment rates. In 2010 Macedonia took the top spot with an official unemployment rate of 33.8%. How can the global economy recover when there are so many people not making any money to buy things with?

Reason 3: U.S. trade deficit increased (again).

Reason 4: China’s trade deficit increased (a surprise).

Reason 5: Credit ratings for Greece and Spain decreased (again).

Reason 6: Oil prices remain high, and still look to go higher (it’s interesting how analysts predicted the increase in price, without even considering, or knowing, that there would be a “revolutionary” crisis affecting many oil producing countries, or did they, mmmm?)

Reason 7: Food prices are increasing, worldwide. The UN (United Nations) says it does not see any improvement in food supply worldwide. I have read that Chinese wheat farmers will have only enough harvest for subsistence in 2011, nothing left over to sell. Across the world the food supply (“supply” is the key word, because some areas have plenty of crops but they aren’t getting to market) situation is getting worse for a number of reasons, from climate change, to the cost of transportation, to lack of credit, to political/social instability. A new problem adding to food supply issues is that migrant workers are not working. This is due to things like anti-migrant attitudes in the U.S., and the increasing violence in North Africa and the Middle East.

Reason 8: Union busting in the United States. Why should this be considered a factor? Because the goal of union busting is to reduce pay and benefits for employees. If workers are going to be making even less than what they are now, then that’s less they’ll spend while shopping. Gee, isn’t the U.S. economy a “consumer” based economy, which would mean the more a worker spends the better it is for the economy?

Reason 9: Stagnant pay for 90% of U.S. workers. Recently the IRS (Internal Revenue Service) reported that their own study, into the wages and salaries of taxpayers, reveled that 90% of taxpayers had no increase in pay in the past 20 years (when adjusted for inflation). The study also showed that the top 5% of taxpayers saw a 33% increase in earnings over the same period (also adjusted for inflation). Basic economics states that for an economy to do well the money in the system needs to go through as many hands as possible. Clearly the money is staying at the top and not trickling down.

Reason 10: This is probably a very important sign that there is no U.S. economic recovery. The world’s largest bond fund, PIMCO’s Total Return Fund, dumped all its U.S. government bonds, then moved into cash/cash equivalent big time. Why is that important? PIMCO used to be the biggest holder of U.S. bonds. That’s because they trusted that the U.S. government could pay its debts. By selling ALL its U.S. bonds PIMCO is indicating that they don’t think the U.S. government can pay back its debts. PIMCO has actually told other investors to get out of U.S. bonds. Not good. The move into cash is a traditional investor’s way of preparing for the worst. How much did PIMCO move into cash? In January PIMCO’s cash holdings were about 5%, now they are at 23%, a big jump. PIMCO is now selling off mortgage backed securities, this indicates that PIMCO is expecting another drop in the housing market.

There are plenty of other reason to list, you can do your own homework. Some of my sources: Voice of America, Reuters, CNN, Russia Today, The Atlantic. Do your own research, I’m not getting paid for this.