Tag Archives: China

What Economic Recovery? Chinese Housing Bubble about to explode: Property Loans halted

“You’d better prepare to pay 40% of your home price as down payment, because commercial banks are going to ask more for a property loan.”-Gong Hang, bank official

First the Chinese government created a new income tax schedule that meant more people were excused from paying taxes, but left them potentially unable to buy a home (due to not having the required tax documents).  Then they ordered down payments to be increased, or mortgage interest rates must be increased (some banks did both).  Now, banks are just flat refusing to issue anymore property loans.

In what’s called 2nd and 3rd tier cities, in China, banks are refusing to issue anymore loans for property: “We will not accept property loan applications at present, even if it is from a first-time home buyer.”-unnamed bank official

If you think paying 40% down on a home is outrageous, wait ’till you read this: 40% down is for first time home buyers, if you’re buying a home for the second time Chinese banks now want 50-60% down.

Bank officials say it’s because the Chinese government ordered banks to hold onto their money, by not lending it out.  This is an attempt to control inflation, which Chinese officials are fearing could get out of control.

 

Corporate Incompetence: 80% of airline blankets not washed

Next time you fly to China, think twice about using the airline blanket.

An investigation of Chinese airlines discovered that 80% of their non-disposable blankets are not washed.  But don’t blame the airlines, blame the contractor who didn’t clean them, even though they were paid to.

Yingtailong Airline Commodity has contracts to clean blankets from airline companies.  The problem, they finally admit, is that they do not have the facilities to wash the 3,000 blankets they get on a daily bases.

The company has 30 employees, but only three washing machines.  Company officials told employees to wash only those blankets that were noticeably dirty.  As a result about 600 of the 3,000 blankets get washed every day.

What Economic Recovery? Chinese industries continue to cut back on imports, blames lack of demand

“The slowdown in import growth will last two to three months or even longer due to both falling demand and possible commodity price drops.”-Li Wei, Standard Chartered Shanghai

While China’s industry activity looks great, compared to other countries, the fact is that it’s slowing down.  The latest import numbers are the lowest ‘increase’ since November 2009.  This means that Chinese industries are buying less materials from other countries.

Imports are at 19.3%, compared to the previous year.  But export numbers are down as well.

China’s June export numbers are 17.9%, compared to May’s 19.4%.  Export numbers to the U.S. and EU dropped to 16.9%.

“The slow recovery of the global economy and the European debt crisis have added uncertainties to export growth.”-Zheng Yuesheng, GAC statistics

While some Chinese industry analysts remain optimistic, some Chinese officials are not so positive: “Exporters in Zhejiang have experienced a disappointing first half, and the second half will not be better.”-Han Jie, Zhejiang Department of Commerce


 

 

Another reason the housing market bubble in China could burst: New Income Tax Laws

Recently the Chinese government changed income tax laws, to help low income workers keep more of their money.  The new law increased the number of workers who don’t have to file income tax.

The Chinese real estate industry is now warning that could reduce property sales.

In China you must have official papers declaring you a permanent resident of the area you want to buy property in.  If you don’t have such paperwork, you can use your income tax filing to show that you work in that area.  The problem with the new tax law is that it will reduce the number of migrant workers who would’ve had those tax records to use to buy a home with.

A Beijing realtor says the new tax law will reduce the number of qualified migrants, in his area, by more than 90%.

This comes after the Chinese government ordered banks to tighten mortgage lending by either increasing down payments, or increasing mortgage interest rates.

What Economic Recovery? Chinese credit crunch could burst Chinese housing market bubble

In an effort to fight inflation the Chinese government recently ordered banks to tighten their grip on the money supply.  One way is to cut back on loans.

The China Construction Bank announced they will increase down payments on homes, for first time buyers, to 40% of the purchase price.  The Chinese banks were told to either raise the amount of down payments, or increase interest rates on mortgages.  This could pop China’s housing market bubble.

No Economic Recovery for the U.S.: German car sales explode, but not because of the United States

German car makers are scrambling to keep up with international orders.  They expect that by the end of the year they will have exported 4.15 million German made cars.  But the majority of those cars are not going to the U.S., they’re going to China, and to some extent India.

“We are seeing international markets pick up much more rapidly than many had expected.  The drivers of growth are above all Asian markets.”-Matthias Wissmann, German Car Industry Association

Audi alone saw a 64% increase in their sales to China and Hong Kong, in 2010.  But BMW is turning out to be the big money maker, just in the first six months of 2011, their sales in China exploded by 101%!

Executives for German car makers admitted they are scrambling to rethink their corporate strategy, because they never expected such high sales in China, so soon.

 

No Economic Recovery for the U.S.: Germany & China sign $3 billion deal

Germany, not the United States, is becoming China’s most important business partner.

In fact the latest deal puts to shame the recent deal signed between China and the United Kingdom, by several hundred billion dollars.  At the end of June Germany and China signed a $290+ billion deal.

The deal includes not just the purchase of products, but investments into anything from universities to medical research to environmental services.  Sounds like everything President Obama promised the people of the United States.

Currently Germany has invested $20 billion into Chinese industries, with China investing only $600 million into Germany.  This new deal greatly increases Chinese investment into Germany.

According to Rainer Gehnen, managing director of the German-Chinese Business Council, China, not the United States, is now Germany’s most important market, and will be for the long run.

 

 

 

Rare Earth Minerals the ‘oil’ of the 21st Century. Who controls the most? Same old adversaries of the 20th Century

Rare earth minerals will become the ‘oil’ of the 21st century.  That’s because they’re used in high tech electronics, and the more the world becomes reliant on electronics, the more valuable rare earth minerals become.

In fact, some analysts say some of the current wars raging on the African continent are all about control of rare earth minerals.

Here are some examples of rare earth minerals: Dysprosium is used in electric motors for vehicles, and Terbium for the latest televisions.

Who’re the biggest controllers of rare earths?  Why they’re the same major players of the Cold War in the 20th century: Russia (the boss of the Soviet Union during the Cold War), China and the United States.

However, China actually controls 90% of the production/refining of rare earths.  This is where their true power comes in.

Rare earth minerals are so important that the Japanese University of Tokyo spent a lot of money conducting a search for other sources of rare earths.  Their target search area was the Pacific Ocean.  International law would prevent any monopolization by any country, of rare earths found in the Pacific Ocean.

They found plenty.  From 2000 samples taken at 78 locations, Associate Professor Yasuhiro Kato estimates there is 800 times the rare earths at the bottom of the Pacific Ocean, than there is on land.

They targeted volcanic vents on the Pacific Ocean floor.  Hawaii has a lot.  The problem is that most of the high concentrations are at depths of 3,000 to 6,000 meters (9,842 to 19,685 feet).  So there are technical limits to getting at the Pacific Ocean rare earths.

What Economic Recovery? China to raise interest rates, requires banks to hold more money in reserve

The Chinese government is contemplating another increase for interest rates, in an attempt to fight off inflation.

On top of that, the Chinese government has ordered banks to tighten their hold on cash.  Currently Chinese banks are required to hold back 21.5% of their cash. The increase in capital reserves, as it’s sometimes called, is intended to slowdown lending.  Lending is another way to drive up inflation.

However, the Bank of China issued a report that says increasing interest rates, and forcing banks to cut back on lending by increasing their capital reserves, is not having any immediate affect on inflation.  That’s because Chinese banks went on a huge lending spree, which flooded the economy with so much money that it will take some time before inflation is brought under control.

In a previous report, it was estimated by a Chinese government audit, that local governments (just local governments) are now in debt by $1.65 trillion.

 

What Economic Recovery? China reports slowdown in non-manufacturing

“We will continue to monitor the situation and evaluate whether this bodes a further slowdown for business activity and economic growth.”-Cai Jin, China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing

China continues to see evidence of economic slowdown, as the non-manufacturing sector shows slowed growth for second month in a row.

The slowdown in non-manufacturing (things like basic resources for bigger companies) is blamed on declining orders from the manufacturing sector.  Manufacturers are cutting back because of declining orders from their international customers.

China is the world’s second largest economy.  If the slowdown in their economy continues, it could be a sign that there is no global economic recovery.