“The U.S. economy needs to grow 2.5% to 3% per year to add jobs fast enough to keep the unemployment rate stable. This will not happen soon.”-Mark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics
Moody’s Analytics downgraded projected GDP for the Untied States. One month ago they projected GDP to be at a yearly average of 3.5%, for the rest of 2011. Now they say the U.S. will be lucky if it can hit 2%.
Moody’s also says the chance of an official double dip recession is now 1 in 3. They also said every 100 point drop in the Dow Jones increases the chances of a double dip recession.
They pointed out that the current job creation rate in the United States falls way short of employment goals for 2012: “Employers will have added about 1.25 million jobs between the fourth quarters of 2010 and 2011, and 2 million more by the fourth quarter of 2012. By then, U.S. employment will still total some 1 million less than expected.”–Mark Zandi (keep in mind he’s talking about projected job creation, there could be more jobs created, or less)